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Morale Patch ArmoryMorale Patch Armory

Breaking Defense

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Mark Cancian

Trump’s Claim Of $2.5 Trillion In DoD Dough: Not True

Posted on October 1, 2019


Sydney J. Freedberg Jr. graphic

If you count next year’s budget, the president will be actually selling himself short. But his other superlatives are not justified.

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2017 budget 2020 budget acquisition BCA Budget Control Act Center for Strategic and International Studies China Congress CSIS Mark Cancian military readiness Pentagon President Donald Trump Russia sequestration SIPRI Threats Todd Harrison

To CR Or Not To CR — How Bad Would A Full Year CR Be?

Posted on July 11, 2019


The clock is ticking, and the Senate, where floor time is always at a premium, has only 35 days in session after July 4th before fiscal 2020 begins (August is mostly recess, unless the Senate decides to enjoy the swelter of a Washington summer).

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2019 budget 2019 defense appropriations 2020 budget 2020 OCO Budget Control Act Congress continuing resolution Mark Cancian op-ed. op-eds. commentary

Defense Spending Will Bust BCA Caps: Mark Cancian

Posted on May 24, 2019


One of Washington’s leading budget experts explains how bipartisan supporters of Pentagon funding will steamroll the Budget Control Act.

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2020 budget 2020 NDAA BCA budget Budget Control Act Byron Callan Congress continuing resolution CSIS defense appropriations deficit reduction Democrats HAC-D House Appropriations committee Mark Cancian President Donald Trump republicans SASC Senate Armed Services Committee

2020 Budget: One Half Step Towards A Great Power Strategy

Posted on March 25, 2019


CSIS AMTI graphic

The Trump defense budget takes significant steps to move from a focus on regional conflicts and counter-insurgency to a focus on great power conflicts. But the Army, Navy Air Force and Marines clearly are struggling with this balance.

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2020 budget air force Air Force force structure Air Warfare alternative Navy Force Structure Assessments army Army force structure B-21 B-21 Bomber budget Congress F-15X F-18 f-35 joint strike fighter force structure GBSD Ground Based Strategic Deterrent GBSD Land Warfare Marine Corps Marine force structure Mark Cancian Naval Warfare navy op-ed. op-eds. commentary USS Truman

Space Force Will Have Seat On Joint Chiefs, Not Full Independence; Costs TBD

Posted on December 21, 2018


Air Force graphic

PENTAGON: The Air Force has eked out a victory in the Pentagon’s latest proposal for a Space Force. While many in the Air Force would prefer to keep their current preeminent role in space operations and not create a new service at all, the current plan — to be submitted by year’s end for inclusion… Keep reading →

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2020 budget acquisition air force Congress David Deptula Ellen Lord Heather Wilson Joint Chiefs of Staff Mark Cancian Patrick Shanahan SASC Sen. James Inhofe Senate Armed Services Committee space space command Space Force Threats Todd Harrison

$750 Billion Or Bust? Trump’s (Latest) Big Defense Budget Bound For Big Fights

Posted on December 10, 2018


Few of the experts we spoke to expect the administration to actually see the full $750 billion President Trump will reportedly propose this week. Between Trump himself calling the figure a “negotiating tactic” and the potential for it driving a $1.2 trillion deficit, the odds are awfully long.

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2020 budget acquisition BCA budget Budget Control Act capitol hill Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments Center for Strategic and International Studies Congress CSBA CSIS Defense Secretary Jim Mattis Gen. James Mattis Gen. Joseph Dunford Mackenzie Eaglen Mark Cancian navy OCO President Donald Trump Robert Hale Todd Harrison Travis Sharp

Mattis Vs. Mulvaney: The Coming Budget Clash & The Reagan Legacy

Posted on December 4, 2018


Reagan Library

We have been here before. In 1982 Caspar Weinberger and David Stockman had a similar showdown referred by President Reagan. DOD won that time. What does that have to tell us about the impending Mulvaney–Mattis showdown? And if OMB wins this time, would Mattis stay on?

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2020 budget budget Caspar Weinberger Congress David Stockman debt Defense Secretary Jim Mattis deficit entitlements Gen. James Mattis Mark Cancian Mick Mulvaney National Defense Strategy 2018 President Donald Trump ronald reagan sequester Threats

The Pentagon’s First-Ever Audit: A Big Disappointment?

Posted on November 14, 2018


WASHINGTON: The Pentagon is preparing to release its first-ever audit as soon as this week, making it the last federal agency to complete a top-to-bottom scrubbing of its processes, business practices and finances. The fallout is likely to be messy. While expectations have built over the years that the audit will uncover large savings and… Keep reading →

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acquisition audit budget Congress contractor cyber security cybersecurity David Norquist Defense Secretary Jim Mattis Ellen Lord fraud Gen. James Mattis hacking industrial base IT john gibson Mark Cancian networks pentagon Pentagon comptroller Robert Karem SASC Sen. James Inhofe Senate Armed Services Committee software Thomas Goffus Vision Federal Market Forecast Conference 2018 waste fraud and abuse

Democratic House Hurts Space Corps, Nuke Modernization, & Pentagon Topline

Posted on November 9, 2018


NASA photo

WASHINGTON: The Democrats’ recapturing the House means three major impacts on the Defense Department: The odds are that controversial Trump priorities like new nuclear weapons and a Space Force will go nowhere, defense budgets will go down, and oversight will go up, up, up. Program winners and losers The most likely losers are nuclear modernization… Keep reading →

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2018 elections 2020 budget acquisition Air Warfare arms control B-21 Raider bombers Budget Control Act Center for Strategic and International Studies Congress CSIS Democrats GBSD Ground-based strategic deterrent HASC house armed services committee ICBM Long Range Stand Off cruise missile LRSO Mark Cancian Naval Warfare nuclear weapons President Donald Trump Rep. Adam Smith saudi arabia space Space Force submarines Threats

Trump Reverses The Defense Buildup: 2020 Cuts Analysis

Posted on October 27, 2018


Cancian/CSIS graphic

Trump’s plan would undercut the more expansive National Defense Strategy for “great power competition” that embattled Defense Secretary Jim Mattis rolled out just nine months ago.

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2019 budget 2020 budget acquisition air force army brigade combat teams Center for Strategic and International Studies commentary CSIS fighters Mark Cancian military personnel military readiness navy Office of Management and Budget OMB op-ed Patrick Shanahan President Donald Trump shipbuilding Threats
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