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Breaking Defense

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Mark Cancian

Trump’s Claim Of $2.5 Trillion In DoD Dough: Not True

Posted by Sydney J. Freedberg Jr. on


If you count next year’s budget, the president will be actually selling himself short. But his other superlatives are not justified.

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To CR Or Not To CR — How Bad Would A Full Year CR Be?

Posted by Mark Cancian on


The clock is ticking, and the Senate, where floor time is always at a premium, has only 35 days in session after July 4th before fiscal 2020 begins (August is mostly recess, unless the Senate decides to enjoy the swelter of a Washington summer).

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Defense Spending Will Bust BCA Caps: Mark Cancian

Posted by Mark Cancian on


One of Washington’s leading budget experts explains how bipartisan supporters of Pentagon funding will steamroll the Budget Control Act.

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2020 Budget: One Half Step Towards A Great Power Strategy

Posted by Mark Cancian on


The Trump defense budget takes significant steps to move from a focus on regional conflicts and counter-insurgency to a focus on great power conflicts. But the Army, Navy Air Force and Marines clearly are struggling with this balance.

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Space Force Will Have Seat On Joint Chiefs, Not Full Independence; Costs TBD

Posted by Paul McLeary on


PENTAGON: The Air Force has eked out a victory in the Pentagon’s latest proposal for a Space Force. While many in the Air Force would prefer to keep their current preeminent role in space operations and not create a new service at all, the current plan — to be submitted by year’s end for inclusion… Keep reading →

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$750 Billion Or Bust? Trump’s (Latest) Big Defense Budget Bound For Big Fights

Posted by Paul McLeary on


Few of the experts we spoke to expect the administration to actually see the full $750 billion President Trump will reportedly propose this week. Between Trump himself calling the figure a “negotiating tactic” and the potential for it driving a $1.2 trillion deficit, the odds are awfully long.

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Mattis Vs. Mulvaney: The Coming Budget Clash & The Reagan Legacy

Posted by Mark Cancian on


We have been here before. In 1982 Caspar Weinberger and David Stockman had a similar showdown referred by President Reagan. DOD won that time. What does that have to tell us about the impending Mulvaney–Mattis showdown? And if OMB wins this time, would Mattis stay on?

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The Pentagon’s First-Ever Audit: A Big Disappointment?

Posted by Paul McLeary on


WASHINGTON: The Pentagon is preparing to release its first-ever audit as soon as this week, making it the last federal agency to complete a top-to-bottom scrubbing of its processes, business practices and finances. The fallout is likely to be messy. While expectations have built over the years that the audit will uncover large savings and… Keep reading →

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Democratic House Hurts Space Corps, Nuke Modernization, & Pentagon Topline

Posted by Mark Cancian on


WASHINGTON: The Democrats’ recapturing the House means three major impacts on the Defense Department: The odds are that controversial Trump priorities like new nuclear weapons and a Space Force will go nowhere, defense budgets will go down, and oversight will go up, up, up. Program winners and losers The most likely losers are nuclear modernization… Keep reading →

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Trump Reverses The Defense Buildup: 2020 Cuts Analysis

Posted by Mark Cancian on


Trump’s plan would undercut the more expansive National Defense Strategy for “great power competition” that embattled Defense Secretary Jim Mattis rolled out just nine months ago.

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